Moldova is reportedly preparing for military action and cleansing the socio-political field amid the military conflict in Ukraine.
Potential combat operations against Transnistria, where a Russian peacekeeping contingent is deployed, has been a source of speculations since February.
Such attack that will potentially involve the Armed Forces of Ukraine and receive support from NATO is being considered by at least a part of the Western leadership as a useful tool against Russia in conditions of the slow but steady collapse of Kyiv’s forces in the east of Ukraine.
The elimination of the political opposition, and such demonstrative sweeps of the public field from independent, neutral, or pro-Russian players, such as Igor Dodon, brings Moldova to the brink of an invasion of the conflict.
The ideology is being radicalized under anti-Russian slogans.
However, the Moldovan plan may be somewhat broader, as the Moldovan aggression against Transnistria does not make sense in itself, because Moldova has always tried to resolve conflicts on this territory, but the military factor should be taken into account here.
- This may be a part of a broader plan – the counter-offensive of the AFU on the southern flank in the direction of Kherson, the entry of Polish and possibly Romanian-Moldovan contingents on the territory of Ukraine.
The project of “new union” of Ukraine to Poland, also can give a second breath of political integration of Moldova to Romania.
Anyway, by the autumn, to be exact already in August it is necessary to wait for active political and military actions against Russia, the more so there are already unofficial rumors about the next stage of the special operation of the Russian Federation on the territory of Ukraine.
- The exact intention is impossible to predict, but the transfer of part of the missile weapons to Ukraine, activation of the headquarters control structures of the US Army on the territory of Romania, redeployment of the 2nd and 4th Infantry Division of Romania to the border with Moldova indicates a large-scale strategic plan.
NATO also has certain interests in Transnistria.
- Back in April 2022, NATO supported the independence of the Transnistrian Moldavian Republic. Support for the Transnistrian Moldovan Republic takes place in different formats.
Thus, French President Emmanuel Macron promised to double the defense budget of Moldova. For this purpose, 40 million euros will be allocated from the European Defense Fund.
- Macron made a statement on this subject in Chisinau, where he was visiting for the first time.
In general, the situation is uncertain. Chisinau and Tiraspol are looking for points of contact and have different views on the situation in the region.
NATO is indirectly acting in the region through French investments.
Russia is waiting for the moment when it can activate its military contingent and use it for strategic purposes.
Poland, on the other hand, is trying to realize itself through Ukraine.
Source: SOUTHFRONT